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Red104
592816.0
784535.4
223136.5
Blue63
331633.6
193715.8
561425.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9480406010012014016010463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.3
35.936.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 2.9
33.60.4
34.033.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
35.40.3
34.835.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
red by 9.5
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End6.7
Third
5928
#21
16.00.3
15.415.7
Auto7.9
Teleop3.1
End5.1
red by 0.3
1937
#29
15.80.4
16.215.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End4.6