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Red84
571511.8
267926.4
165728.7
Blue94
331633.6
193715.8
561425.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68832040601001201408494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#11
28.70.4
28.328.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End5.7
blue by 4.9
33.60.1
34.034.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
26.40.4
26.026.4
Auto10.4
Teleop7.5
End8.5
red by 0.6
25.80.1
26.226.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End6.7
Third
5715
#22
11.80.4
11.411.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.5
blue by 3.9
1937
#29
15.80.1
16.116.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End4.6