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Red105
561425.8
165728.7
784535.4
Blue56
458616.3
703934.7
193715.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7571020406010012014010556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.41.2
22.824.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
red by 0.7
34.71.2
25.924.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Second
1657
#11
28.71.2
21.422.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 12.4
4586
#14
16.31.2
22.521.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End7.9
Third
25.81.2
25.226.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End6.7
red by 10.1
1937
#29
15.81.2
18.417.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed