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Red105
223136.5
571511.8
333941.0
Blue39
595116.3
610410.4
267926.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83550204010012014016010539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.2
30.731.9
Auto11.1
Teleop21.2
End8.6
red by 14.6
26.41.8
16.414.7
Auto10.4
Teleop7.5
End8.5
Second
36.51.2
25.626.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 20.2
5951
#28
16.31.8
19.517.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End6.3
Third
5715
#22
11.81.2
17.919.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.5
red by 1.4
6104
#20
10.41.8
18.917.2
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed