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Red105
592816.0
784535.4
223136.5
Blue79
221224.1
595116.3
307533.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947620406012014016010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.4
35.736.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 2.8
3075
#15
33.70.1
33.433.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End7.0
Second
35.40.4
34.635.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
red by 11.3
24.10.1
23.823.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.2
End6.0
Third
5928
#21
16.00.4
15.215.6
Auto7.9
Teleop3.1
End5.1
blue by 0.3
5951
#28
16.30.1
16.016.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End6.3