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Red50
930315.8
474419.3
563525.8
Blue85
165728.7
267926.4
571511.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668204060801001205085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#18
25.80.5
26.325.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End8.0
blue by 2.9
1657
#11
28.70.4
27.627.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End5.7
Second
4744
#19
19.30.5
19.819.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End6.7
blue by 7.1
26.40.4
25.325.6
Auto10.4
Teleop7.5
End8.5
Third
9303
#13
15.80.5
16.215.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End8.1
red by 3.9
5715
#22
11.80.4
10.711.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.5