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Red118
673832.3
338837.3
333947.8
Blue88
555428.4
529114.7
321134.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10456015011888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.4
45.947.4
Auto12.2
Teleop27.2
End8.2
red by 13.5
3211
#12
34.31.3
26.227.5
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Second
37.31.4
25.226.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 8.9
28.41.3
17.418.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Third
6738
#11
32.31.4
20.221.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
red by 17.5
5291
#26
14.72.1
15.017.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsEarned