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Red108
817524.2
563530.7
565443.3
Blue93
595121.7
513539.1
169055.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921185015020010893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.2
38.839.1
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
blue by 12.2
55.51.0
55.955.0
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
Second
5635
#16
30.70.2
30.230.5
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
blue by 8.4
5135
#13
39.11.0
28.427.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
Third
8175
#22
24.20.2
20.620.8
Auto9.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 2.5
5951
#20
21.71.0
23.222.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed