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Red131
673832.3
169055.5
306531.7
Blue111
459038.4
308319.0
338837.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127750100150131111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.0
54.756.7
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
red by 17.1
4590
#14
38.42.3
27.429.7
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
6738
#11
32.32.0
21.523.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
blue by 5.0
37.32.3
29.331.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
Third
3065
#19
31.72.0
24.526.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
red by 12.7
3083
#27
19.02.3
20.322.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned