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Red154
555428.4
165740.3
194323.3
Blue65
466119.5
717717.6
817524.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8461204010012014016015465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.32.4
35.137.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
red by 16.0
8175
#22
24.20.3
20.520.8
Auto9.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Second
28.42.4
19.622.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
red by 8.9
4661
#21
19.50.3
23.824.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Third
1943
#23
23.32.4
20.823.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
red by 5.7
7177
#29
17.60.5
16.016.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned