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Red44
459038.4
529114.7
306531.7
Blue179
165740.3
565443.3
169055.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6313405010015020044179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#14
38.41.9
25.023.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
blue by 17.1
55.51.5
54.055.5
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
Second
3065
#19
31.71.9
23.721.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
blue by 11.6
43.31.5
34.035.5
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
Third
5291
#26
14.73.2
19.216.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 25.5
40.31.5
28.730.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned