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Red116
338837.3
331637.4
784543.7
Blue109
333947.8
194323.3
466119.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9878204060120140160116109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#17
43.70.8
35.436.1
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
blue by 4.2
47.81.9
41.042.9
Auto12.2
Teleop27.2
End8.2
Second
3316
#10
37.40.8
33.634.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
red by 14.1
1943
#23
23.31.9
15.016.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
Third
37.30.8
20.321.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 17.8
4661
#21
19.51.9
19.521.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned