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Red134
458629.0
555428.4
784543.7
Blue64
431926.0
674117.6
308319.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996305015020013464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#17
43.72.4
41.143.5
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 17.7
4319
#18
26.00.0
25.725.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Second
4586
#15
29.02.4
23.325.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 10.0
3083
#27
19.00.0
21.221.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Third
28.42.4
24.226.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
red by 10.8
6741
#24
17.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned