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Red38
331637.4
822312.9
466119.5
Blue134
565443.3
459038.4
513539.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811195010015020038134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#10
37.42.9
37.234.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
blue by 5.9
43.31.8
42.644.4
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
Second
4661
#21
19.52.9
25.122.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.9
blue by 19.6
5135
#13
39.11.8
31.533.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
Third
8223
#30
12.94.1
18.414.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 25.5
4590
#14
38.41.8
32.534.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned