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Red80
563530.7
674021.0
555428.4
Blue108
784543.7
529114.7
165740.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910205015020080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#16
30.70.5
29.228.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
blue by 13.0
7845
#17
43.71.0
42.943.9
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
28.40.5
26.025.5
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
blue by 11.9
40.31.0
37.938.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
Third
6740
#25
21.00.5
22.321.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End6.2
red by 6.2
5291
#26
14.71.2
12.313.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed