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Red91
565443.3
169055.5
308319.0
Blue126
306531.7
459038.4
673832.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133955015020091126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
56.255.5
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
red by 17.1
4590
#14
38.40.6
35.736.3
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
43.30.6
44.043.4
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
red by 11.1
6738
#11
32.30.6
29.530.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
Third
3083
#27
19.00.6
19.619.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 12.7
3065
#19
31.70.6
28.929.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2