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Red110
307542.6
598748.0
817524.2
Blue119
331637.4
555428.4
563530.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12797050150200110119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.2
48.147.8
Auto9.3
Teleop32.8
End5.8
red by 10.6
3316
#10
37.40.4
36.737.1
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Second
42.60.2
42.742.4
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End8.0
red by 11.9
5635
#16
30.70.4
30.030.5
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Third
8175
#22
24.20.2
24.324.1
Auto9.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
blue by 4.1
28.40.4
27.728.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5