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Red149
333947.8
157763.3
466119.5
Blue106
321134.3
165740.3
431926.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14410150200149106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.3
63.363.6
Auto13.6
Teleop40.6
End8.5
red by 23.1
40.30.1
40.140.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
Second
47.80.3
47.848.1
Auto12.2
Teleop27.2
End8.2
red by 13.5
3211
#12
34.30.1
34.234.3
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Third
4661
#21
19.50.3
19.419.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.9
blue by 6.5
4319
#18
26.00.1
25.926.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End6.0