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Red122
673832.3
459038.4
306531.7
Blue111
563530.7
555428.4
331637.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210295100105110115120122111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#14
38.40.5
36.336.7
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
red by 1.1
3316
#10
37.40.2
37.137.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Second
6738
#11
32.30.5
30.130.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
red by 1.5
5635
#16
30.70.2
30.530.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Third
3065
#19
31.70.5
29.530.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
red by 3.3
28.40.2
28.128.4
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5