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Red110
458629.0
784543.7
595121.7
Blue121
308319.0
169055.5
565443.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94131050150200110121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#17
43.70.4
43.343.7
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
blue by 11.8
55.50.1
55.655.7
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
Second
4586
#15
29.00.4
28.629.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
blue by 14.4
43.30.1
43.443.5
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
Third
5951
#20
21.70.4
21.421.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 2.8
3083
#27
19.00.1
19.119.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0