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Red116
432021.5
223046.3
263045.6
Blue122
571535.9
616841.3
193728.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119109406080100140160180200116122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.0
45.245.2
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 5.0
6168
#11
41.30.3
40.841.1
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
Second
45.60.0
44.544.6
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
red by 9.7
35.90.3
35.535.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Third
4320
#30
21.50.0
20.520.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
blue by 6.4
1937
#17
28.00.3
27.527.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4