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Red115
193728.0
616841.3
571535.9
Blue103
157443.3
703945.8
711224.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10712550150200115103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#11
41.30.3
40.540.8
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
blue by 4.5
45.80.6
46.445.8
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
35.90.3
35.235.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
blue by 7.4
43.30.6
43.943.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Third
1937
#17
28.00.3
27.327.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
red by 3.6
7112
#20
24.30.6
24.924.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4