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Red108
193728.0
599035.4
158026.0
Blue82
616841.3
717722.6
623019.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5569010015020010882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.42.2
21.623.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.3
End4.9
blue by 5.8
6168
#11
41.30.9
29.730.6
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
Second
1937
#17
28.02.2
15.817.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
red by 5.4
7177
#28
22.60.9
17.618.5
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Third
1580
#14
26.02.2
16.218.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.2
End7.6
red by 6.9
6230
#27
19.10.9
16.117.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed