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Red137
209640.0
571535.9
157443.3
Blue95
529129.6
561439.5
706735.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696870809010012013795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.33.7
28.532.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
red by 3.8
39.51.3
25.827.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Second
2096
#10
40.03.7
24.027.7
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
red by 4.5
35.51.3
23.424.7
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End8.1
Third
35.93.7
11.815.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
red by 6.4
5291
#16
29.61.3
14.716.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned