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Red114
441615.3
592825.1
263045.6
Blue129
383523.4
223046.3
195420.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63560204080100120140114129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.63.7
32.736.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
blue by 0.7
46.34.7
25.129.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
Second
5928
#22
25.13.7
16.019.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
red by 1.8
3835
#25
23.44.7
10.915.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9
Third
4416
#26
15.33.7
9.613.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End4.4
blue by 5.4
1954
#29
20.74.7
17.121.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned