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Red104
599035.4
616841.3
529129.6
Blue102
703945.8
157443.3
592825.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72107050150200250104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#11
41.32.2
30.032.2
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
blue by 4.5
45.80.4
38.939.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
35.42.2
23.725.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.3
End4.9
blue by 7.9
43.30.4
34.134.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Third
5291
#16
29.62.2
17.920.1
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
red by 4.4
5928
#22
25.10.4
22.723.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed