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Red55
267926.7
158026.0
822320.8
Blue101
610420.9
221231.5
223046.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667905010015020055101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#23
26.70.6
27.326.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End7.1
blue by 19.6
46.31.6
32.534.0
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
Second
1580
#14
26.00.6
21.320.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.2
End7.6
blue by 5.5
2212
#18
31.51.6
26.528.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
Third
8223
#21
20.80.6
15.014.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
blue by 0.1
6104
#13
20.91.6
13.615.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned