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Red90
383523.4
571535.9
610420.9
Blue75
717722.6
822320.8
157627.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654060801009075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.7
27.629.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
red by 8.5
1576
#12
27.50.1
24.925.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Second
3835
#25
23.41.7
15.617.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9
red by 0.8
7177
#28
22.60.1
20.620.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Third
6104
#13
20.91.7
16.518.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.7
red by 0.1
8223
#21
20.80.1
17.717.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed