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Red89
930414.0
711224.3
223046.3
Blue115
561439.5
193728.0
223141.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611205010015020025089115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.1
37.939.0
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 5.2
41.11.1
43.244.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Second
7112
#20
24.31.1
18.819.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4
blue by 15.2
39.51.1
35.136.2
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Third
9304
#31
14.01.1
10.811.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End5.0
blue by 13.9
1937
#17
28.01.1
20.621.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned