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Red135
158026.0
221231.5
157627.5
Blue110
529129.6
263045.6
474429.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85102050150200135110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#18
31.51.3
31.632.9
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
blue by 14.1
45.61.1
41.742.8
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
Second
1576
#12
27.51.3
27.128.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End5.6
blue by 2.1
5291
#16
29.61.1
23.925.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Third
1580
#14
26.01.3
23.324.6
Auto9.2
Teleop9.2
End7.6
blue by 3.2
4744
#19
29.21.1
27.828.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned