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Red111
717722.6
209640.0
193728.0
Blue119
571535.9
441615.3
703945.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84914060100120140160111119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#10
40.01.4
35.837.2
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
blue by 5.8
45.82.0
39.641.6
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
1937
#17
28.01.4
21.422.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
blue by 8.0
35.92.0
28.930.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Third
7177
#28
22.61.4
22.423.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
red by 7.3
4416
#26
15.32.0
15.717.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned