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Red130
194238.7
223046.3
822320.8
Blue100
599035.4
157443.3
930320.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9797708090110120130130100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.32.3
39.041.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 3.0
43.30.2
40.040.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Second
1942
#15
38.72.3
34.136.4
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End5.7
red by 3.3
35.40.2
30.931.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Third
8223
#21
20.82.3
17.519.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
red by 0.3
9303
#24
20.50.2
20.921.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed