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Red133
223141.1
474429.2
561439.5
Blue96
706735.5
209640.0
433823.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123975015020013396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.5
41.842.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
red by 1.2
2096
#10
40.00.0
38.438.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
Second
39.50.5
40.240.7
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
red by 4.1
35.50.0
33.933.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End8.1
Third
4744
#19
29.20.5
29.930.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End6.3
red by 6.0
4338
#32
23.20.0
21.621.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0