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Red134
432021.5
223046.3
263045.6
Blue100
157627.5
221231.5
592825.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11683050100150200134100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.5
43.544.0
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 14.8
2212
#18
31.50.4
30.931.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
Second
45.60.5
42.843.3
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
red by 18.1
1576
#12
27.50.4
26.927.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Third
4320
#30
21.50.5
18.719.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
blue by 3.6
5928
#22
25.10.4
24.625.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1