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Red92
592825.1
221231.5
157627.5
Blue121
157443.3
703945.8
711224.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312605010015020092121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#18
31.50.2
31.331.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
blue by 14.3
45.80.2
45.545.7
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
1576
#12
27.50.2
27.327.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End5.6
blue by 15.9
43.30.2
43.043.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Third
5928
#22
25.10.2
25.025.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
red by 0.8
7112
#20
24.30.2
24.124.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4