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Red116
193728.0
616841.3
571535.9
Blue105
561439.5
474429.2
223141.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612350150200116105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#11
41.30.2
40.240.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
red by 0.1
41.10.3
42.342.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Second
35.90.2
34.935.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
blue by 3.6
39.50.3
40.740.4
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Third
1937
#17
28.00.2
26.927.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
blue by 1.3
4744
#19
29.20.3
30.430.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End6.3