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Red152
432021.5
223046.3
263045.6
Blue117
194238.7
599035.4
383523.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169950150200152117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.6
44.044.6
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 7.6
1942
#15
38.70.5
37.938.4
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End5.7
Second
45.60.6
43.343.9
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
red by 10.2
35.40.5
34.635.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Third
4320
#30
21.50.6
19.219.8
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
blue by 1.8
3835
#25
23.40.5
22.523.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9