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Red74
223141.1
474429.2
561439.5
Blue138
157443.3
703945.8
711224.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120121809010011013014015074138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
42.041.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
blue by 4.6
45.80.3
45.746.0
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
39.50.9
40.439.5
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
blue by 3.8
43.30.3
43.243.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Third
4744
#19
29.20.9
30.129.2
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End6.3
red by 4.9
7112
#20
24.30.3
24.224.5
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4