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Red90
571540.3
822326.0
999927.0
Blue164
157770.2
157454.4
706727.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52162010015020025090164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#11
40.30.7
40.841.5
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
blue by 29.9
70.20.3
69.268.9
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
Second
9999
#16
27.01.2
19.921.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End-2.4
blue by 27.4
54.40.3
51.250.9
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
Third
8223
#24
26.00.7
18.619.3
Auto3.9
Teleop22.5
End-0.2
blue by 1.3
7067
#31
27.30.3
32.732.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned