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Red146
308321.5
223150.3
209650.5
Blue151
306535.2
307549.4
173169.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104138050200250300146151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.7
45.647.3
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
blue by 18.6
69.10.8
61.161.9
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Second
2231
#19
50.31.7
54.055.7
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
red by 0.9
3075
#20
49.40.8
46.247.0
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
Third
3083
#25
21.51.7
16.518.1
Auto1.1
Teleop21.1
End-0.4
blue by 13.6
3065
#14
35.20.8
31.932.6
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned