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Red133
173169.1
822326.0
784541.4
Blue120
157454.4
223037.4
592818.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116102050150200133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.10.8
61.962.7
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
red by 14.7
54.40.1
50.950.8
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
Second
7845
#21
41.40.8
39.440.2
Auto8.1
Teleop31.8
End1.6
red by 4.0
2230
#30
37.40.1
39.739.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
Third
8223
#24
26.00.8
19.320.2
Auto3.9
Teleop22.5
End-0.2
red by 7.1
5928
#34
18.90.1
20.920.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed