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Red43
308321.5
67419.2
706727.3
Blue113
157770.2
711223.5
458631.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45127010015020043113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7067
#31
27.31.4
32.431.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 42.9
70.21.2
68.967.7
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
Second
3083
#25
21.51.4
18.116.8
Auto1.1
Teleop21.1
End-0.4
blue by 10.1
4586
#10
31.61.2
32.431.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9
Third
6741
#33
9.21.4
12.911.5
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3
blue by 14.3
7112
#18
23.51.2
25.324.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsMissed