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Red98
599038.3
321138.3
673835.3
Blue162
209650.5
598757.1
595137.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212505015020098162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#27
38.31.2
44.543.3
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0
blue by 18.8
5987
#15
57.12.1
58.560.6
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Second
3211
#12
38.31.2
38.937.7
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 12.2
50.52.1
47.349.3
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
Third
6738
#23
35.31.2
32.231.0
Auto5.2
Teleop29.1
End1.2
blue by 2.3
37.62.1
26.628.7
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned