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Red155
306535.2
169072.0
194239.9
Blue127
223150.3
561440.2
703944.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513150100150200155127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.4
64.565.9
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
red by 21.7
2231
#19
50.30.7
55.754.9
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
Second
1942
#13
39.91.4
37.038.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3
blue by 4.6
7039
#17
44.50.7
42.741.9
Auto7.0
Teleop37.1
End0.6
Third
3065
#14
35.21.4
32.634.1
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
blue by 5.0
5614
#22
40.20.7
39.839.0
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsMissed