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Red133
194321.1
157770.2
223037.4
Blue120
267925.9
595137.6
784541.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12483050100150200250300133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.20.1
67.767.8
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
red by 28.8
7845
#21
41.41.2
40.241.4
Auto8.1
Teleop31.8
End1.6
Second
2230
#30
37.40.1
39.639.7
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
blue by 0.2
37.61.2
28.729.8
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
Third
1943
#32
21.10.1
19.219.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
2679
#28
25.91.2
28.529.7
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned