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Red145
706727.3
169072.0
321138.3
Blue122
157770.2
673835.3
703944.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150166050100200250300145122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.1
64.964.9
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
red by 1.8
70.22.2
72.470.2
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
Second
3211
#12
38.30.1
42.142.2
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 6.2
7039
#17
44.52.2
45.643.5
Auto7.0
Teleop37.1
End0.6
Third
7067
#31
27.30.1
37.237.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 7.9
6738
#23
35.32.2
36.534.3
Auto5.2
Teleop29.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned