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Red167
571540.3
598757.1
333958.7
Blue93
267925.9
67419.2
209650.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168885015020025016793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.3
53.855.1
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
red by 8.2
50.50.0
45.945.9
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
Second
5987
#15
57.11.3
59.460.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
red by 31.2
2679
#28
25.90.0
29.329.3
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
Third
5715
#11
40.31.3
41.242.5
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 31.1
6741
#33
9.20.0
17.617.6
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned