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Red123
263054.1
306535.2
157454.4
Blue121
307549.4
595137.6
592818.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17189050150200250123121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.42.2
55.353.2
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
red by 5.0
3075
#20
49.41.5
45.246.7
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
Second
54.12.2
55.353.1
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End0.8
red by 16.5
37.61.5
21.723.2
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
Third
3065
#14
35.22.2
40.037.9
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
red by 16.3
5928
#34
18.91.5
26.728.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned