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Red150
703944.5
209650.5
306535.2
Blue88
194321.1
321138.3
383523.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11754010015020015088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.5
49.851.2
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
red by 12.2
3211
#12
38.30.6
38.539.1
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
7039
#17
44.51.5
41.342.7
Auto7.0
Teleop37.1
End0.6
red by 21.4
3835
#29
23.10.6
21.522.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.1
End-0.7
Third
3065
#14
35.21.5
34.135.6
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
red by 14.1
1943
#32
21.10.6
18.619.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned