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Red81
599038.3
711223.5
706727.3
Blue99
194239.9
571540.3
223037.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801050501502008199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#27
38.31.1
44.843.8
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0
blue by 2.0
5715
#11
40.32.1
41.939.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
Second
7067
#31
27.31.1
27.826.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.2
blue by 12.5
1942
#13
39.92.1
36.033.9
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3
Third
7112
#18
23.51.1
24.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End1.4
blue by 13.9
2230
#30
37.42.1
38.035.8
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed